Decoding cardiac reinnervation from cardiac autonomic markers: A mathematical model approach

Although cardiac autonomic markers (CAMs) are commonly used to assess cardiac reinnervation in heart-transplant patients, their relationship to the degree of sympathetic and vagal cardiac reinnervation is not well understood yet. To study this relationship, we applied a mathematical model of the cardiovascular system and its autonomic control.

By simulating varying levels of sympathetic and vagal efferent sinoatrial reinnervation, we analyzed the induced changes in CAMs including resting heart rate (HR), bradycardic and tachycardic HR response to Valsalva maneuver, root mean square of successive differences between normal heartbeats (RMSSD), low-frequency (LF), high-frequency (HF), and total spectral power (TSP).

For assessment of vagal cardiac reinnervation levels >20%, resting HR (ρ = 0.99, p < 0.05), RMSSD (ρ = 0.97, p < 0.05), and TSP (ρ = 0.96, p < 0.05) may be equally suitable as HF-power (ρ = 0.97, p < 0.05). To assess sympathetic reinnervation, LF/HF ratio (ρ = 0.87, p < 0.05) and tachycardic response to Valsalva maneuver (ρ = 0.9, p < 0.05) may be more suitable than LF-power (ρ = 0.77, p < 0.05).

Our model reports mechanistic relationships between CAMs and levels of efferent autonomic sinoatrial reinnervation. The results indicate differences in the suitability of these markers to assess vagal and sympathetic reinnervation. Although our analysis is purely conceptual, the developed model can help to gain important insights into the genesis of CAMs and their relationship to efferent sinoatrial reinnervation and, thus, provide indications for clinical study evaluation.