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Considerations for master protocols using external controls
Jie Chen1, Xiaoyun Nicole Li2, Chengxing Cindy Lu3
1Data Sciences, ECR Global, Shanghai, China.
Abstract:
There has been an increasing use of master protocols in oncology clinical trials because of its efficiency to accelerate cancer drug development and flexibility to accommodate multiple substudies. Depending on the study objective and design, a master protocol trial can be a basket trial, an umbrella trial, a platform trial, or any other form of trials in which multiple investigational products and/or subpopulations are studied under a single protocol. Master protocols can use external data and evidence (e.g. external controls) for treatment effect estimation, which can further improve efficiency of master protocol trials. This paper provides an overview of different types of external controls and their unique features when used in master protocols. Some key considerations in master protocols with external controls are discussed including construction of estimands, assessment of fit-for-use real-world data, and considerations for different types of master protocols. Similarities and differences between regular randomized controlled trials and master protocols when using external controls are discussed. A targeted learning-based causal roadmap is presented which constitutes three key steps: (1) define a target statistical estimand that aligns with the causal estimand for the study objective, (2) use an efficient estimator to estimate the target statistical estimand and its uncertainty, and (3) evaluate the impact of causal assumptions on the study conclusion by performing sensitivity analyses. Two illustrative examples for master protocols using external controls are discussed for their merits and possible improvement in causal effect estimation.
Insights
Master protocols accelerate oncology drug development using external controls. This paper details their types, considerations, and a causal roadmap for efficient treatment effect estimation in clinical trials.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials Methodology
- Oncology Drug Development
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Master protocols are increasingly used in oncology clinical trials for efficiency and flexibility.
- These protocols (e.g., basket, umbrella, platform trials) study multiple drugs and subpopulations under one design.
- Incorporating external controls can further enhance the efficiency of master protocols.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide an overview of external control types and their features in master protocols.
- To discuss key considerations for using external controls in master protocols, including data assessment and estimand construction.
- To present a causal roadmap for estimating treatment effects in master protocols with external controls.
Main Methods:
- Review of different external control types and their application in master protocols.
- Discussion of challenges and considerations, including fit-for-use real-world data and estimand definition.
- Presentation of a three-step targeted learning-based causal roadmap: estimand definition, efficient estimation, and sensitivity analysis.
Main Results:
- Identified various types of external controls and their unique characteristics within master protocols.
- Outlined critical considerations for constructing estimands and assessing real-world data for external controls.
- Demonstrated a causal roadmap for robust treatment effect estimation, supported by illustrative examples.
Conclusions:
- Master protocols, especially when utilizing external controls, offer an efficient framework for oncology drug development.
- Careful consideration of estimands, data quality, and causal assumptions is crucial for valid inference.
- The proposed causal roadmap provides a structured approach to enhance the reliability of results from master protocols using external controls.
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