Quantitative modelling reservoir microalgae proliferation in response to water-soluble anions and cations influx

Atmospheric precipitation deposits acid-forming substances into surface water. However, the effects of water-soluble components on microalgae proliferation are poorly understood. This study analysed the growth characteristics of three microalgae bioindicators of water quality: Scenedesmus quadricauda, Chlorella vulgaris, and Scenedesmus obliquus, adopting on-site monitoring, culture experiments simulating 96 types of water by supplementing anions and cations, and predictive modelling. The result quantified pH > 3.0 rain with dominant Ca²⁺, Mg²⁺, and K⁺ cations, together with anions of NO₃^- and SO₄^2-. The presence of Ca²⁺ of up to 0.1 mM and Mg²⁺ concentrations (>0.5 mM) suppressed Scenedesmus quadricauda growth. Soluble ions, luminosity, and pH had significant impacts (p ≤ 0.01) on increased microalgae proliferation. A newly proposed microalgae growth model predicted a 10.7-fold increase in cell density six days post-incubation in the case of rainfall. The modelling supports algal outbreaks and delays prediction during regional water cycles.