Neuroticism and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Epidemiologic and Mendelian Randomization Study

The association between neuroticism and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

This study aimed to assess the epidemiological and causal relationships between neuroticism and AF.

Individuals without AF history were selected From the UK Biobank nationwide prospective cohort study. Participants were divided into 2 groups (high and low) based on the median summary score from a self-questionnaire of 12 neurotic behavior domains. The 10-year AF risk was compared between the neuroticism score groups using inverse probability of treatment weighting. The causal relationship between neuroticism and AF was evaluated using a 2-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization with the inverse variance-weighted method.

Of 394,834 participants (mean age 56.3 ± 8.1 years, 45.9% male), AF occurred in 23,509 (6.0%) during a 10-year follow-up. The risk of incident AF significantly increased in the high neuroticism score group (score ≥4) (inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.02-1.09; P = 0.005) compared with the low neuroticism group. In the subgroup analysis, younger age, lower body mass index, or nonsmoker/ex-smoker participants were particularly susceptible to increased AF risk due to high neuroticism scores. A Mendelian randomization analysis showed a significant causal relationship between an increase in neuroticism score and increased risk of AF (OR by inverse variance-weighted method 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.11; P = 0.007) without evidence of reverse causality.

There was a significant longitudinal and causal relationship between neuroticism and AF. An integrated care including active mental health screening and management may benefit in high-risk populations.