Magnetic Resonance Imaging Frequency After Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Spine Metastases

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) is increasingly being used to treat spine metastases. Current post-SBRT imaging surveillance strategies in this patient population may benefit from a more data-driven and personalized approach. The objective of this study was to develop risk-stratified post-SBRT magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) surveillance strategies using quantitative methods.

Adult patients with bony spine metastases treated with SBRT between 2008 and 2021 and who had at least 2 follow-up spine MRIs were reviewed retrospectively. A recursive partitioning analysis model was developed to separate patients into different risk categories for post-SBRT progression anywhere within the spine. Imaging intervals were derived for each risk category using parametric survival regression based on multiple expected spine progression rates per scan.

A total of 446 patients and 1039 vertebral segments were included. Cumulative incidence of spine progression was 19.2% at 1 year, 26.7% at 2 years, and 35.3% at 4 years. The internally validated risk stratification model was able to divide patients into 3 risk categories based on epidural disease, paraspinal disease, and Spinal Instability Neoplastic Score category. The 4-year risk of spine progression was 23.4%, 39.0%, and 51.8%, respectively, for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. Using an expected per-scan spine progression rate of 3.75%, the low-risk group would require follow-up scans every 6.0 months (95% CI, 4.9-7.6) and the intermediate-risk group would require surveillance every 3.1 months (95% CI, 2.6-3.7). At an expected spine progression rate of 5%, the high-risk group would require surveillance every 1.3 months (95% CI, 1.1-1.6) during the first 13.2 months after SBRT and every 5.9 months thereafter (95% CI, 2.8-12.3).

Data-driven follow-up MRI surveillance intervals at a range of expected spine progression rates have been determined for patients at different risks of spine progression based on an internally validated, single-institution risk stratification model.