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  6. Correlation Between Surrogate Endpoints And Overall Survival In Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors: A Systematic Review And Meta-analysis.

Correlation between surrogate endpoints and overall survival in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Litao Huang1,2, Deying Kang2,3, Chongyang Zhao3

  • 1Chinese Evidence-Based Medicine Center, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

Scientific Reports
|February 21, 2024

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View abstract on PubMed

Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) show limited utility of progression-free survival (PFS) as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). Complete response (CR) strongly correlates with OS, offering better predictive value.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Immunotherapy
  • Clinical Trial Analysis

Background:

  • Unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) presents therapeutic challenges.
  • Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are a key treatment modality for uHCC.
  • Evaluating surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) is crucial for efficient clinical trial design.

Approach:

  • Systematic literature review of phase I-III clinical trials for uHCC treated with ICIs.
  • Meta-regression analyses to assess correlations between OS and surrogate endpoints like progression-free survival (PFS) and complete response (CR).
  • Surrogate Threshold Effect (STE) calculation and subgroup analyses to refine endpoint utility.

Key Points:

  • Progression-free survival (PFS) demonstrated a weak correlation with overall survival (OS) (R²=0.352).
Keywords:
Hepatocellular carcinomaImmunologyMeta-analysisSurvival

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  • Complete response (CR) showed a strong correlation with OS (R²=0.905).
  • Phase III trials and ICI + intra-arterial (IA) combinations revealed significant correlations between OS and various endpoints, including stable disease (SD) and immune-related adverse events (irAEs).
  • Conclusions:

    • Complete response (CR) is a more reliable surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) than PFS in uHCC patients treated with ICIs.
    • Subgroup analyses, particularly in phase III trials and ICI + IA combinations, provide nuanced insights into endpoint validity.
    • Findings aid in interpreting clinical trial outcomes and selecting appropriate endpoints for future uHCC immunotherapy studies.