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Extensive SARS-CoV-2 testing reveals BA.1/BA.2 asymptomatic rates and underreporting in school children
Maria M Martignoni1, Zahra Mohammadi2, J Concepción Loredo-Osti1
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, NL.
Underreporting of COVID-19 cases in school children was high during the Omicron outbreak in Newfoundland and Labrador. Rapid antigen tests revealed higher prevalence and significant asymptomatic infections than official counts.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Virology
Background:
- The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic posed challenges in accurately tracking cases, particularly among school children.
- Underreporting of COVID-19 cases in K-12 students may have been significant, impacting public health response evaluation.
- An Omicron variant (BA.1/BA.2) outbreak in Newfoundland and Labrador prompted recommendations for student rapid antigen testing.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in K-12 students.
- To assess the extent of case underreporting in school children during the Omicron outbreak.
- To identify the proportion of asymptomatic infections among students.
Main Methods:
- A province-wide online survey was administered to parents/guardians to collect rapid antigen test (RAT) results from K-12 students.
- Survey data on RAT results were compared with official provincial case and testing data.
- Prevalence of infection, underreporting ratios, and asymptomatic infection rates were calculated.
Main Results:
- The provincial testing system captured only 1 in 4.3 positive households, indicating substantial underreporting.
- Rapid antigen tests estimated a 5.1% positivity rate, significantly higher than the 1.2% reported by the provincial system.
- Asymptomatic infections constituted 59.8% of all positive cases identified through RATs.
- Elementary school students accounted for 62.9% of positive cases.
Conclusions:
- The study highlights significant underreporting of COVID-19 cases in school children, consistent with serology data.
- Findings provide crucial insights into infection prevalence and the high rate of asymptomatic infections in this understudied population.
- The low survey participation rate (3.5%) necessitates cautious interpretation of results due to potential sample selection bias.
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