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This study benchmarks normative modeling algorithms for brain morphometric data, identifying multivariate fractional polynomial regression (MFPR) as optimal. The MFPR model accurately tracks age-related brain changes across the lifespan.

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Area of Science:

  • Neuroimaging
  • Computational Neuroscience
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Normative models are crucial for interpreting neuroimaging data in research and clinical settings.
  • Robustness and systematic comparison of modeling algorithms are essential but have been lacking.
  • Previous studies have not comprehensively evaluated algorithms for brain morphometric normative modeling.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify the optimal approach for normative modeling of brain morphometric data.
  • To systematically benchmark different algorithms and parameters for accuracy and performance.
  • To establish a reliable framework for assessing neuroanatomical variations.

Main Methods:

  • Comparative evaluation of eight algorithms using regional morphometric data from 37,407 healthy individuals.
  • Benchmarking included various covariate combinations (image acquisition, quality, software versions, global measures, longitudinal stability).
  • Multivariate fractional polynomial regression (MFPR) was identified as the preferred algorithm, optimized with non-linear age effects and global measures as covariates.

Main Results:

  • Multivariate fractional polynomial regression (MFPR) demonstrated superior accuracy across the lifespan and within age groups.
  • MFPR models exhibited excellent longitudinal stability over a 2-year period.
  • Optimal model performance was achieved with sample sizes exceeding 3000 participants.

Conclusions:

  • The optimized MFPR model provides a robust framework for normative modeling of brain morphometric data.
  • This approach can inform the biological and behavioral implications of deviations from typical neuroanatomical development.
  • The developed model and scripts are available to support future research and clinical study designs.