Radiologists predict differential resource utilization but not clinical outcome in emergency department patients...

Radiologists with diverse training, specialization, and habits interpret imaging in the Emergency Department. It is necessary to understand if their variation predicts differential value. The purpose of this study was to determine whether attending radiologist variation predicts major clinical outcomes in adult Emergency Department patients imaged with ultrasound for right upper quadrant pain.

Consecutive ED patients imaged with ultrasound for RUQ pain from 10/8/2016 to 8/10/2022 were included (N = 7097). The primary outcome was prediction of hospital admission by signing attending radiologist. Secondary outcomes included: ED and hospital length of stay (LOS), 30-day mortality, 30-day re-presentation rate, subspecialty consultation, advanced imaging follow up (HIDA, MRI, CT), and intervention (ERCP, drainage or surgery). Sample size was determined a priori (detectable effect size: w = 0.06). Data were adjusted for demographic data, Elixhauser comorbidities, number of ED visits in prior year, clinical data, and system factors (38 covariates). P-values were corrected for multiple comparisons (false discovery rate-adjusted p-values).

The included ultrasounds were read by 35 radiologists (median exams/radiologist: 145 [74.5-241.5]). Signing radiologist did not predict hospitalization (p = 0.85), abdominopelvic surgery or intervention within 30 days, re-presentation to the Emergency Department within 30 days, or subspecialty consultation. Radiologist did predict difference in Emergency Department length of stay (p < 0.001) although this difference was small and imprecise. HIDA was mentioned variably by radiologists (range 0-19%, p < 0.001), and mention of HIDA in the ultrasound report increased 10-fold the odds of HIDA being performed in the next 72 h (odds ratio 10.4 [8.0-13.4], p < 0.001).

Radiologist variability did not predict meaningful outcome differences for patients with right upper quadrant pain undergoing ultrasound in the Emergency Department, but when radiologists mention HIDA in their reports, it predicts a 10-fold increase in the odds a HIDA is performed. Radiologists are relied on for interpretation that shapes subsequent patient care, and it is important to consider how radiologist variability can influence both outcome and resource utilization.