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Epidemiology and prognostic nomogram for chronic eosinophilic leukemia: a population-based study using the SEER
Jinlin Wang1, Meitong Lin2, Fan Wang3
1Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, Hubei, China.
Chronic Eosinophilic Leukemia (CEL) is rare. This study analyzed epidemiology and developed a prognostic nomogram, identifying age, marital status, and secondary CEL as key survival predictors for better patient risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Hematology
- Oncology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Chronic Eosinophilic Leukemia (CEL) is a rare hematological disorder marked by uncontrolled eosinophil proliferation.
- Its infrequency poses diagnostic and therapeutic challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the epidemiology of CEL.
- To develop and validate a prognostic nomogram for predicting overall survival in CEL patients.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database (2001-2020).
- Utilized LASSO and Cox regression for prognostic factor identification.
- Developed and validated a nomogram using training and validation cohorts.
Main Results:
- CEL incidence is low (0.033/100,000 person-years), increasing with age and higher in males.
- Advanced age, specific marital statuses, and secondary CEL were adverse prognostic factors.
- The nomogram showed good calibration and discrimination for risk stratification.
Conclusions:
- This study provides crucial epidemiological insights and a validated prognostic tool for CEL.
- The nomogram aids in personalized prognostication and risk stratification.
- Further research is needed for molecular mechanisms and treatment optimization.
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