Peaks and transient dynamics of ecological and biogeochemical variables following impoundment in boreal reservoirs

Across the globe, reservoirs represent nearly 10 % of the world's freshwater. River impoundment strongly alters the hydrological regime of aquatic ecosystems which subsequently affect the ecological (e.g., primary production, fish biomass) and biogeochemical variables (e.g., nutrient, mercury, and carbon cycles which includes Green House Gas emissions; GHG). We examined the transient dynamics and co-variation of biogeochemical and ecological variables from unique long-term time series (40 years of data) from Hydro-Québec boreal reservoirs, with data before and after impoundment. To do so, we applied curve fitting analysis on the data from eight plausible scenarios and model selection. Following impoundment, most variables increased, peaked, and then decreased over time (clear hump-shaped patterns; six over eight variables). Model predictions peaked between three- and 11-years post-impoundment and returned to pre-impoundment levels after about nine- to 40-years. Variables also followed a clear sequence where GHG emissions (CO₂, CH₄) peaked first, immediately after impoundment, followed by an increase in phosphorus and Chl-a. Total mercury in fish peaked a few years later for non-piscivorous fish and was followed closely by piscivorous fish. This work provides the first comprehensive and holistic description of the transitory nature and co-variation of ecological and biogeochemical variables following reservoir impoundment.