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Published on: December 21, 2016
Predictive biomarkers of rapidly developing insulin deficiency in children with type 1 diabetes
Per Lundkvist1, Annika Grönberg2, Per-Ola Carlsson3,4
1Department of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden per.lundkvist@medsci.uu.se.
Insights
Biomarkers do not reliably predict type 1 diabetes progression in children. While some markers like CAR showed changes over time in rapid progressors, overall, predicting disease speed remains challenging.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology and Metabolism
- Immunology
- Pediatrics
Background:
- Type 1 diabetes progression to insulin deficiency varies significantly.
- Predicting disease progression is crucial for intervention trials in pediatric type 1 diabetes.
- Identifying biomarkers for rapid versus slow progression is needed.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify biomarkers that predict rapid or slow disease progression in children with new-onset type 1 diabetes.
- To compare biomarker profiles between rapid and slow progressors and healthy controls.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective longitudinal cohort study of 46 children with type 1 diabetes.
- Grouped children into rapid (<30 months) and slow progressors based on C-peptide levels.
- Assessed multiple biomarkers using proximity extension assay (PEA) at baseline and follow-up, including a healthy control group (N=45).
Main Results:
- Rapid progressors had lower C-peptide and higher autoantibodies at baseline.
- Three baseline biomarkers (carbonic anhydrase 9, corticosteroid 11-beta-dehydrogenase isozyme 1, tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 21) were higher in the rapid group.
- A coxsackievirus B-adenovirus receptor (CAR) increased over time specifically in rapid progressors; 81 proteins differed between type 1 diabetes and controls, but PCA could not distinguish progression groups.
Conclusions:
- Proximity extension assay (PEA) analysis of multiple biomarkers could not distinguish the rate of type 1 diabetes progression in children.
- The coxsackievirus B-adenovirus receptor (CAR) showed a significant time-dependent increase in rapid progressors.
- Specific biomarkers may still offer insights into C-peptide decline and type 1 diabetes pathogenesis, despite limitations in predicting progression speed.
Introduction:
The rate of progression to complete insulin deficiency varies greatly in type 1 diabetes. This constitutes a challenge, especially when randomizing patients in intervention trials aiming to preserve beta cell function. This study aimed to identify biomarkers predictive of either a rapid or slow disease progression in children with new-onset type 1 diabetes.
Research Design And Methods:
A retrospective, longitudinal cohort study of children (<18 years) with type 1 diabetes (N=46) was included at diagnosis and followed until complete insulinopenia (C-peptide <0.03 nmol/L). Children were grouped into rapid progressors (n=20, loss within 30 months) and slow progressors (n=26). A sex-matched control group of healthy children (N=45) of similar age was included for comparison. Multiple biomarkers were assessed by proximity extension assay (PEA) at baseline and follow-up.
Results:
At baseline, rapid progressors had lower C-peptide and higher autoantibody levels than slow. Three biomarkers were higher in the rapid group: carbonic anhydrase 9, corticosteroid 11-beta-dehydrogenase isozyme 1, and tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 21. In a linear mixed model, 25 proteins changed over time, irrespective of group. One protein, a coxsackievirus B-adenovirus receptor (CAR) increased over time in rapid progressors. Eighty-one proteins differed between type 1 diabetes and healthy controls. Principal component analysis could not distinguish between rapid, slow, and healthy controls.
Conclusions:
Despite differences in individual proteins, the combination of multiple biomarkers analyzed by PEA could not distinguish the rate of progression in children with new-onset type 1 diabetes. Only one marker was altered significantly when considering both time and group effects, namely CAR, which increased significantly over time in the rapid group. Nevertheless, we did find some markers that may be useful in predicting the decline of the C-peptide. Moreover, these could potentially be important for understanding type 1 diabetes pathogenesis.
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