The error of estimated GFR in predialysis care

Beatriz Escamilla-Cabrera1,2, Sergio Luis-Lima3,4, Eduardo Gallego-Valcarce5

  • 1Nephrology Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Canarias, La Laguna, Spain.

Scientific Reports
|March 3, 2024
PubMed

Insights

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) formulas show significant errors in predialysis patients, impacting clinical decisions regarding dialysis initiation and renal replacement therapy preparation. These inaccuracies may affect patient care.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Clinical Chemistry
  • Medical Statistics

Background:

  • The accuracy of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in predialysis patients is not well understood.
  • Clinical decisions regarding renal replacement therapy (RRT) depend on accurate GFR assessment.
  • Previous studies have not fully evaluated the real-world impact of eGFR errors in predialysis care.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the accuracy and precision of 52 eGFR formulas compared to measured GFR (mGFR) in 315 predialysis patients.
  • To assess the clinical consequences of eGFR errors on decisions related to dialysis initiation and RRT preparation.
  • To quantify the impact of formula inaccuracies on patient management in a prospective, multicentre setting.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective, multicentre study involving 315 predialysis patients.
  • Measured GFR (mGFR) determined by iohexol clearance.
  • Agreement between eGFR and mGFR assessed using concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), total deviation index (TDI), and coverage probability (CP).

Main Results:

  • eGFR formulas demonstrated poor precision and accuracy (average CCC 0.6, TDI 70%, CP 22%) compared to mGFR.
  • Frequent variations exceeding 10 ml/min between eGFR and mGFR were observed.
  • eGFR errors led to potential misclassifications: 14% premature RRT preparation, 59% delayed RRT preparation, and delayed dialysis in asymptomatic patients needing RRT.

Conclusions:

  • Current eGFR formulas exhibit significant errors in predialysis patients.
  • These inaccuracies can lead to inappropriate clinical decisions regarding RRT initiation and management.
  • The substantial error in eGFR formulas necessitates caution and potentially revised assessment methods in predialysis care.

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