Post-treatment Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio Is a Prognostic Factor in Head and Neck Cancers Treated With Nivolumab

Inflammation and nutrition-based biomarkers, such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), have prognostic value for several types of malignancies. Markers that precisely reflect the prognosis of patients with head and neck cancers (HNCs) treated with immune-checkpoint inhibitors remain unclear. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of hematological markers before and after treatment with nivolumab in patients with recurrent or metastatic HNC (RM-HNC).

We evaluated the clinical data of 44 patients with recurrent/metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab between April 2017 and April 2023 at Shinshu University Hospital. Values of hematological biomarkers (NLR, LMR, PLR, CAR, PNI, SII, and SIRI) were calculated before and 4-6 weeks after nivolumab initiation. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the cutoff values of pre- and post-treatment markers for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Among all pre- and post-treatment markers, post-treatment NLR showed the highest area under the curve (AUC=0.702). A high post-treatment NLR (cutoff value, 4.01) was associated with a poor OS (p=0.027) and a tendency for shorter PFS (p=0.117). Multivariate analysis showed that a high post-treatment NLR was significantly associated with poor OS (p=0.026).

A high post-treatment NLR was associated with poor response to nivolumab in head and neck cancers.