A Deep Learning Model Combining Multimodal Factors to Predict the Overall Survival of Transarterial Chemoembolization
Zhongqi Sun1, Xin Li1, Hongwei Liang1
1Department of Radiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, 150086, People's Republic of China.
Background:
To develop and validate an overall survival (OS) prediction model for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).
Methods:
In this retrospective study, 301 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received TACE from 2012 to 2015 were collected. The residual network was used to extract prognostic information from CT images, which was then combined with the clinical factors adjusted by COX regression to predict survival using a modified deep learning model (DLOPCombin). The DLOPCombin model was compared with the residual network model (DLOPCTR), multiple COX regression model (DLOPCox), Radiomic model (Radiomic), and clinical model.
Results:
In the validation cohort, DLOPCombin shows the highest TD AUC of all cohorts, which compared with Radiomic (TD AUC: 0.96vs 0.63) and clinical model (TD AUC: 0.96 vs 0.62) model. DLOPCombin showed significant difference in C index compared with DLOPCTR and DLOPCox models (P < 0.05). Moreover, the DLOPCombin showed good calibration and overall net benefit. Patients with DLOPCombin model score ≤ 0.902 had better OS (33 months vs 15.5 months, P < 0.0001).
Conclusion:
The deep learning model can effectively predict the patients' overall survival of TACE.
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