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This study reveals that individual success in social dilemmas, not just media or ideology, drives polarization. Games emphasizing punishment over greed, like stag-hunt, reduce opinion fragmentation, while those rewarding defection, like prisoner

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Area of Science:

  • Social dynamics and opinion formation
  • Evolutionary game theory and decision-making

Background:

  • Polarization is prevalent in public opinion and politics, influenced by media, ideologies, and misinformation.
  • The microscopic dynamics and fundamental origins of social tensions and polarization remain poorly understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the microscopic mechanisms driving polarization by linking opinion formation with social dilemma strategies.
  • To explore how individual-level success in strategic interactions translates to global consensus or fragmentation.

Main Methods:

  • Coupled opinion formation models with strategy selection in established social dilemma games (stag-hunt, prisoner's dilemma, snowdrift).
  • Analyzed the impact of game structure (greed vs. punishment) on opinion fragmentation and consensus formation.

Main Results:

  • Opinion fragmentation was minimized in the stag-hunt game, where defection implies punishment without greed.
  • Consensus was harder to achieve in the prisoner's dilemma and snowdrift game, where defection offers higher payoffs and evokes greed.
  • Individual success in pairwise evolutionary comparisons can be a fundamental driver of social tensions.

Conclusions:

  • Social tensions and polarization may originate from fundamental individual-level principles, challenging top-down explanations.
  • The structure of social dilemmas, particularly the balance between greed and punishment, significantly influences opinion dynamics.
  • Understanding individual strategic choices is crucial for comprehending large-scale societal polarization.