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Predictive Tool Use and Willingness for Surgery in Patients With Knee Osteoarthritis: A Randomized Clinical Trial
Yushy Zhou1,2, Lauren Patten1,2, Tim Spelman1
1Department of Surgery, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
JAMA Network Open
|March 8, 2024
Summary
An online tool predicting total knee arthroplasty (TKA) outcomes did not significantly alter patient willingness for surgery. Further research is needed to optimize these tools for improving patient decision-making in knee osteoarthritis management.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Health Informatics
- Patient Decision-Making
Background:
- Predictive tools for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are increasingly available, yet their impact on patient choices is unclear.
- Patient decision-making for TKA requires reliable information on potential outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the effect of an online predictive tool on patients' reported willingness to undergo TKA.
- To assess how predictive information influences the decision-making process for knee replacement surgery.
Main Methods:
- A parallel, double-masked, randomized clinical trial compared an online predictive tool group with a treatment-as-usual (TAU) control group.
- Participants with knee osteoarthritis contemplating TKA were recruited from insurance and public hospital waitlists.
- The primary outcome was willingness for surgery at 6 months, with secondary outcomes including treatment preference and decision quality.
Main Results:
- The study included 211 participants (mean age 65.8 years, 55.9% female).
- The online predictive tool did not significantly reduce participants' willingness for TKA at 6 months (adjusted odds ratio, 0.85; P=.64).
- No significant difference was found in willingness for surgery between the predictive tool and TAU groups.
Conclusions:
- The tested online predictive tool did not influence patients' willingness to undergo TKA.
- Predictive tools may still offer benefits for patients with knee osteoarthritis, potentially enhancing health outcomes.
- Further research is necessary to refine the design and application of predictive tools for TKA decision support.

