Has the Supreme Court become just another political branch? Public perceptions of court approval and legitimacy in a post-Dobbs world

  • 0Department of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Public perception of the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) has significantly polarized along partisan lines. Data shows a clear divide in favorability, trust, and legitimacy, unlike in previous years.

Area Of Science

  • Political Science
  • Public Opinion Research
  • American Politics

Background

  • The U.S. Supreme Court historically maintained bipartisan respect, acting as a stabilizing institution.
  • Recent years, particularly post-2022 Dobbs decision, suggest a potential erosion of this non-partisan image.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To investigate whether public perceptions of the U.S. Supreme Court have polarized similarly to broader American politics.
  • To analyze trends in court favorability, trust, legitimacy, and support for reform over two decades.

Main Methods

  • Utilized eight waves of longitudinal panel data.
  • Incorporated 18 nationally representative surveys conducted over a 20-year period.
  • Examined changes in public opinion regarding the Supreme Court's favorability, trust, legitimacy, and support for reform.

Main Results

  • Little evidence of partisan polarization in earlier survey years.
  • Clear patterns of partisan polarization emerged in 2022 and 2023 across favorability, trust, legitimacy, and support for reform.
  • Factors previously insulating the Court, such as public knowledge and democratic value support, no longer mitigate polarization.

Conclusions

  • The U.S. Supreme Court now exhibits clear partisan polarization in public perception.
  • The Court's increased salience to voters suggests it will remain a significant political issue.
  • This polarization carries potentially concerning implications for the Court's institutional standing and role in American democracy.

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