Optimal hypofractionated radiation therapy schemes for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) has been emerging as an efficacious and safe treatment modality for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but optimal fractionation regimens are unknown. This study aims to analyze published clinical tumor control probability (TCP) data as a function of biologically effective dose (BED) and to determine radiobiological parameters and optimal fractionation schemes for SBRT and hypofractionated radiation therapy of early-stage HCC.

Clinical 1- to 5-year TCP data of 4313 patients from 41 published papers were collected for hypofractionated radiation therapy at 2.5-4.5 Gy/fraction and SBRT of early-stage HCC. BED was calculated at isocenter using three representative radiobiological models developed per the Hypofractionated Treatment Effects in the Clinic (HyTEC) initiative. Radiobiological parameters were determined from a fit to the TCP data using the least χ² method with one set of model parameters regardless of tumor stages or Child-Pugh scores A and B.

The fits to the clinical TCP data for SBRT of early-stage HCC found consistent α/β ratios of about 14 Gy for all three radiobiological models. TCP increases sharply with BED and reaches an asymptotic maximal plateau, which results in optimal fractionation schemes of least doses to achieve asymptotic maximal tumor control for SBRT and hypofractionated radiation therapy of early-stage HCC that are found to be model-independent.

From the fits to the clinical TCP data, we presented the first determination of radiobiological parameters and model-independent optimal fractionation regimens in 1-20 fractions to achieve maximal tumor control whenever safe for SBRT and hypofractionated radiation therapy of early-stage HCC. The determined optimal fractionation schemes agree well with clinical practice for SBRT of early-stage HCC. However, most existing hypofractionated radiation therapy schemes of 3-5 Gy/fraction are not optimal, higher doses are required to maximize tumor control, further validation of these findings is essential with clinical TCP data.