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Updated: Jul 1, 2025

Integrating Remote Sensing with Species Distribution Models; Mapping Tamarisk Invasions Using the Software for Assisted Habitat Modeling SAHM
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SAFARIS: a spatial analytic framework for pest forecast systems.

Yu Takeuchi1, Amber Tripodi2, Kellyn Montgomery3

  • 1Center for Integrated Pest Management, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United States.

Frontiers in Insect Science
|March 12, 2024
PubMed
Summary

A new framework, SAFARIS, helps predict risks from invasive pests and diseases affecting U.S. forests and agriculture. This system aids the USDA in protecting natural resources and agricultural health from biological threats.

Keywords:
non-native pestsoak ambrosia beetlephytosanitary managementpredictive modelingspatial analytic frameworkspongy moth

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Area of Science:

  • Agricultural science
  • Forestry
  • Ecology
  • Risk assessment

Background:

  • Non-native pests and diseases threaten U.S. forests and agriculture with significant economic and environmental damage.
  • The USDA's APHIS PPQ works to prevent the introduction and spread of invasive species.
  • Assessing the unique risks posed by each pest and disease is a complex challenge.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce the Spatial Analytic Framework for Advanced Risk Information Systems (SAFARIS).
  • To provide a user-friendly, integrated system for developing predictive pest and disease risk models.
  • To support the USDA APHIS PPQ's mission in managing invasive species.

Main Methods:

  • SAFARIS integrates pest biology, climate, and non-climate data drivers.
  • The framework includes tools for phenology prediction and spread forecasting.
  • Predictive models are developed within a seamless, web-based environment.

Main Results:

  • SAFARIS provides accessible and customizable tools for analyzing pest and disease risks.
  • Climate-based analytical tools inform decisions on suitable establishment areas and optimal survey timing.
  • Two use cases demonstrate SAFARIS's support for PPQ's operational efforts and rapid response.

Conclusions:

  • SAFARIS enhances the USDA's ability to respond to pest and disease threats.
  • The framework's flexible, publicly available design allows broader application for risk modeling.
  • SAFARIS contributes to safeguarding U.S. agriculture and natural resources from invasive species.