Multivariable Air-Quality Prediction and Modelling via Hybrid Machine Learning: A Case Study for Craiova, Romania
Youness El Mghouchi1, Mihaela Tinca Udristioiu2, Hasan Yildizhan3
1Department of Energetics, ENSAM, Moulay Ismail University, Meknes 50050, Morocco.
Abstract:
Inadequate air quality has adverse impacts on human well-being and contributes to the progression of climate change, leading to fluctuations in temperature. Therefore, gaining a localized comprehension of the interplay between climate variations and air pollution holds great significance in alleviating the health repercussions of air pollution. This study uses a holistic approach to make air quality predictions and multivariate modelling. It investigates the associations between meteorological factors, encompassing temperature, relative humidity, air pressure, and three particulate matter concentrations (PM10, PM2.5, and PM1), and the correlation between PM concentrations and noise levels, volatile organic compounds, and carbon dioxide emissions. Five hybrid machine learning models were employed to predict PM concentrations and then the Air Quality Index (AQI). Twelve PM sensors evenly distributed in Craiova City, Romania, provided the dataset for five months (22 September 2021-17 February 2022). The sensors transmitted data each minute. The prediction accuracy of the models was evaluated and the results revealed that, in general, the coefficient of determination (R2) values exceeded 0.96 (interval of confidence is 0.95) and, in most instances, approached 0.99. Relative humidity emerged as the least influential variable on PM concentrations, while the most accurate predictions were achieved by combining pressure with temperature. PM10 (less than 10 µm in diameter) concentrations exhibited a notable correlation with PM2.5 (less than 2.5 µm in diameter) concentrations and a moderate correlation with PM1 (less than 1 µm in diameter). Nevertheless, other findings indicated that PM concentrations were not strongly related to NOISE, CO2, and VOC, and these last variables should be combined with another meteorological variable to enhance the prediction accuracy. Ultimately, this study established novel relationships for predicting PM concentrations and AQI based on the most effective combinations of predictor variables identified.
Related Concept Videos
01:03Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
01:16Response Surface Methodology
The process of RSM involves several key steps:
01:25Multiple Regression
Farmers can use multiple regression to determine the crop yield based on more than one factor, such as water availability, fertilizer, soil properties, etc. Here, the crop yield is the response or dependent variable as it depends on the other independent variables. The analysis requires the construction of a scatter plot...
01:11Regression Analysis
In regression analysis, a regression equation is determined based on the line of best fit– a line that best fits the data points plotted in a graph. This line is also called the regression line. The algebraic equation for the regression line is called the regression equation. It is represented as:
01:22Multi-input and Multi-variable systems
In the absence...
01:06Model Approaches for Pharmacokinetic Data: Distributed Parameter Models
The distributed parameter models are specifically designed to account for variations and differences in some drug classes. This model is particularly useful for assessing regional concentrations of anticancer or...