Growth Differentiation Factor 15 and Diet Quality Trajectory Interact to Determine Frailty Incidence among...

Elevated plasma growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) and poor diet quality may be associated with increased frailty incidence, although their interactive associations have not been assessed in urban middle-aged adults.

We aimed to examine GDF15 and its interactive association with diet quality in relation to frailty incidence among a sample of middle-aged urban adults.

The relationship between GDF15 and diet quality trajectories in relation to incident frailty was examined in a longitudinal study of participants in the Healthy Aging in Neighborhoods of Diversity across the Life Span (2004-2017). Serum GDF15 concentration and frailty incidence were primary exposure and outcome, respectively. Group-based trajectory models were used to assess diet quality trajectories (≤3 visits/participant, N = 945, N' = 2247 observations) using the Healthy Eating Index 2010 version (HEI-2010), Dietary Inflammatory Index, and mean adequacy ratio (MAR). Cox proportional hazards models were used, testing interactive associations of GDF15 and diet quality trajectories with frail/prefrail incidence (N = 400 frailty-free at first visit, N' = 604 observations, n = 168 incident frail/prefrail).

Both elevated GDF15 and lower diet quality trajectories were associated with a lower probability of remaining nonfrail (≤13 y follow-up). Among females, the "high diet quality" HEI-2010 trajectory had a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.15 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.04, 0.54; P = 0.004; fully adjusted model] when compared with the "low diet quality" trajectory group. Among males only, there was an antagonistic interaction between lower HEI-2010 trajectory and elevated GDF15. Specifically, the HR for GDF15-frailty in the higher diet quality trajectory group (high/medium combined), and among males, was 2.69 (95% CI: 1.06, 6.62; P = 0.032), whereas among the lower diet quality trajectory group, the HR was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.49, 1.80; P = 0.86). Elevated GDF15 was independently associated with frailty among African American adults.

Pending replication, we found an antagonistic interaction between GDF15 and HEI-2010 trajectory in relation to frailty incidence among males.