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H-type Hypertension Status and Influencing Factors of the Elderly People Over 80 Years Old Based on Random Forest
Xiaobo Zhang1,2, Botang Guo3, Hong Zhu4,5
1Department of Cardiology Organization, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Harbin Medical University.
Insights
Identifying risk factors for H-type hypertension in the elderly is crucial. Ejection fraction (EF) is protective, while fibrinogen, HbA1c, and creatinine are risk factors in patients over 80.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Hypertension is a prevalent chronic condition in individuals over 80.
- H-type hypertension is defined by coexisting hypertension and hyperhomocysteinemia (≥ 10 umol/L).
- Identifying risk factors for H-type hypertension in the elderly is vital for improving patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and analyze the risk factors associated with H-type hypertension in elderly patients (over 80 years old).
- To provide insights for proactive intervention strategies to improve prognosis.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 494 hypertensive patients over 80 were divided into H-type (n=197) and non-H-type (n=297) groups.
- Random forest and LASSO analyses were employed to screen potential influencing factors.
- Multivariate stepwise regression analysis was used to validate the identified risk and protective factors.
Main Results:
- The incidence of H-type hypertension in this elderly cohort was 39.88%.
- Key factors identified included ejection fraction (EF), fibrinogen, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), creatinine, B-type natriuretic peptide, fasting blood glucose, uric acid, and serum triiodothyronine.
- Multivariate analysis confirmed EF as a protective factor, while fibrinogen, HbA1c, and creatinine were significant risk factors (P < 0.05).
Conclusions:
- Ejection fraction, fibrinogen, HbA1c, and creatinine levels are important indicators for assessing H-type hypertension risk in elderly patients.
- Focusing on these factors allows for indirect assessment and proactive interventions.
- These findings can guide healthcare professionals in providing targeted medical services to improve prognosis for elderly hypertensive patients.
Abstract:
Hypertension is a common chronic disease in elderly people over 80 years old. Clinically, H-type hypertension occurs when hypertension coexists with hyperhomocysteinemia level of ≥ 10 umol/L. Effective identification of risk factors for H-type hypertension in the elderly can greatly improve patient prognosis.Consecutively, 494 patients with hypertension admitted to the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2019 to December 2021 were selected as the study population. They were divided into H-type hypertension (n = 197) and non-H-type hypertension groups (n = 297). Patient data were collected, including basic information, history, and clinical data. The random forest model and LASSO analysis were used to screen the influencing factors for H-type hypertension. Multiple stepwise regression analysis was used to analyze the selected variables.A total of 197 elderly people over 80 years old suffered from H-type hypertension, with an incidence rate of 39.88%. The random forest model and LASSO analysis results showed that the top 8 independent variables in importance ranking were ejection fraction (EF), fibrinogen, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), B-type natriuretic peptide, creatinine, fasting blood glucose, uric acid, and serum triiodothyronine levels. The results of multivariate analysis showed that EF was the protective factor, while fibrinogen, HbA1c, and creatinine were the risk factors for H-type hypertension in elderly people over 80 years old (P < 0.05).Healthcare professionals can indirectly assess the prevalence of H-type hypertension by focusing on EF, fibrinogen, creatinine, and HbA1c in elderly hypertensive patients. This provided proactive intervention and medical services to improve prognosis outcomes.
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