Prediction of disease recurrence in patients after complete pancreatic NET (PanNET) G2 resection

The number of detected pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (PanNETs) has been increasing over the last decades. Surgical resection remains the only potentially curative treatment, but the management is still controversial. This study aimed to compare patients after radical PanNET G2 resection to determine the most important predictive factors for relapse.

All patients with histologically confirmed PanNET G2 who underwent successful surgery between 2006 and 2020 with the intention of radical treatment were enrolled.

In total, 44 patients were eligible for the analysis. The average follow-up was 8.39 ± 4.5 years. Disease recurrence was observed in 16 (36.36%) patients. The dominant location of the primary tumour was the tail of the pancreas (43.18%), especially in the subgroup with disease recurrence (56.25%). The smallest tumour diameter associated with the PanNET G2 recurrence was 22 mm. The relationship between the largest dimension of the tumour with a division of < 4 cm vs. > 4 cm and the relapse was close to statistical significance. Recurrence was associated with a larger tumour size (p = 0.018). There was a statistically significant relationship and a weak correlation between Ki-67 (p = 0.036, V Cramer = 0.371) and disease relapse.

For the group of PanNET G2 patients after radical surgery, the overall risk of recurrence was 36.36%, with the highest rate in the first 5 years after surgery, but in individual cases it occurred significantly later, even 10 years after surgery. The most important predictive factors of the PanNET G2 recurrence was Ki-67 over 5.75% and size of tumour > 4 cm.