The Association Between Metformin Use and New-Onset ICD Coding of Geographic Atrophy

Metformin has been suggested to protect against the development of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) in multiple observational studies. However, the association between metformin and geographic atrophy (GA), a debilitating subtype of AMD, has not been analyzed.

We conducted a case-control study of patients ages 60 years and older with new-onset International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coding of GA in the Merative MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Databases between 2017 and 2021. Cases were matched with propensity scores estimated by age, region, hypertension, and Charlson Comorbidity Index to a control without GA of the same year. Exposure to metformin was assessed for cases and controls in the year prior to their index visit. Conditional multivariable logistic regression, adjusting for AMD risk factors, was used to calculate odd ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). This study design and analysis were repeated in a sample of patients without diabetes.

In the full sample, we identified 10,505 cases with GA and 10,502 matched controls without GA. In total, 1149 (10.9%) cases and 1277 (12.2%) controls were exposed to metformin, and in multivariable regression, metformin decreased the odds of new-onset ICD coding of GA by 12% (95% CI, 0.79-0.99). In the sample of patients without diabetes, we identified 7611 cases with GA and 7608 matched controls without GA. Twenty-nine (0.4%) cases and 63 (0.8%) controls were exposed to metformin, and in multivariable regression, metformin decreased the odds of new-onset ICD coding of GA by 47% (95% CI, 0.33-0.83).

Metformin may hold promise as a noninvasive, alternative agent to prevent the development of GA. This finding is notable due to shortcomings in recently approved therapeutics for GA and metformin's overall ease of use and few adverse effects. Additional studies are required to explore our findings further and motivate a clinical trial.