Development of a diagnostic support system for distal humerus fracture using artificial intelligence

AI has shown promise in automating and improving various tasks, including medical image analysis. Distal humerus fractures are a critical clinical concern that requires early diagnosis and treatment to avoid complications. The standard diagnostic method involves X-ray imaging, but subtle fractures can be missed, leading to delayed or incorrect diagnoses. Deep learning, a subset of artificial intelligence, has demonstrated the ability to automate medical image analysis tasks, potentially improving fracture identification accuracy and reducing the need for additional and cost-intensive imaging modalities (Schwarz et al. 2023). This study aims to develop a deep learning-based diagnostic support system for distal humerus fractures using conventional X-ray images. The primary objective of this study is to determine whether deep learning can provide reliable image-based fracture detection recommendations for distal humerus fractures.

Between March 2017 and March 2022, our tertiary hospital's PACS data were evaluated for conventional radiography images of the anteroposterior (AP) and lateral elbow for suspected traumatic distal humerus fractures. The data set consisted of 4931 images of patients seven years and older, after excluding paediatric images below seven years due to the absence of ossification centres. Two senior orthopaedic surgeons with 12 + years of experience reviewed and labelled the images as fractured or normal. The data set was split into training sets (79.88%) and validation tests (20.1%). Image pre-processing was performed by cropping the images to 224 × 224 pixels around the capitellum, and the deep learning algorithm architecture used was ResNet18.

The deep learning model demonstrated an accuracy of 69.14% in the validation test set, with a specificity of 95.89% and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 99.47%. However, the sensitivity was 61.49%, indicating that the model had a relatively high false negative rate. ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.787 when deep learning AI was the reference and an AUC of 0.580 when the most senior orthopaedic surgeon was the reference. The performance of the model was compared with that of other orthopaedic surgeons of varying experience levels, showing varying levels of diagnostic precision.

The developed deep learning-based diagnostic support system shows potential for accurately diagnosing distal humerus fractures using AP and lateral elbow radiographs. The model's specificity and PPV indicate its ability to mark out occult lesions and has a high false positive rate. Further research and validation are necessary to improve the sensitivity and diagnostic accuracy of the model for practical clinical implementation.