Identification of red blood cell distribution width as a prognostic factor in acute myeloid leukemia

Many prognostic factors have been identified in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). In this study, we investigated novel prognostic biomarkers using machine learning and Cox regression models in a prospective cohort of 591 patients with AML and tried to identify potential therapeutic targets based on transcriptomic data. We found that elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW) at diagnosis was an adverse prognostic factor for AML, independent of the 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN2022) genetic risk. As a continuous variable, higher RDW was associated with shorter overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.087, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.036-1.139, p < 0.001) and event-free survival (EFS) (HR 1.078, 95% CI 1.033-1.124, p < 0.001). Elevated RDW returned to normal after consolidation therapy, which indicated that leukemia cells resulted in abnormal RDW. We further investigated the relationship between RDW and transcriptome in another cohort of 191 patients with AML and public datasets using gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and cell-type identification by estimating relative subsets of RNA transcripts (CIBERSORT). We found that patients in the high-RDW group were significantly enriched in the positive regulation of erythroid differentiation and inflammation-related pathways. Finally, we identified the inflammation-associated gene IL12RB2 and verified its prognostic relevance with patients with AML in public databases, suggesting it as a potential therapy target.