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Updated: Jun 30, 2025

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Association between baseline hemodynamic indices, cardiotoxicity risk, and survival in women with breast cancer
Charles-Edouard Decorads1, Aurélien Lambert2, Véronique Roch1
1Université de Lorraine, Department of Nuclear Medicine and Nancyclotep Imaging Platform, CHRU Nancy, F-54000, Nancy, France.
Background:
The outcome of breast cancer (BrCa) women monitored by low-dose equilibrium radionuclide angiography (ERNA) remains challenging to predict.
Aim:
This study aims to determine whether heart rate (HR)/blood pressure (BP) ratio-based indexes, previously confirmed to predict outcomes of various diseases, also predict BrCa-therapy-related cardiotoxicity and survival.
Methods:
Predictors of cardiotoxicity and survival were determined among pre-therapy variables, including shock index ([SI HR/systolic BP) and age-adjusted SI (ASI), in a female BrCa cohort with normal baseline ERNA-left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).
Results:
We included 274 women with a median age of 54.8 (interquartile range: 45.5-65.4) years, 271 treated with anthracyclines and 96 with trastuzumab. During a median follow-up of 25.9 (18.6-33.5) months, 31 women developed cardiotoxicity (LVEF: <50% and ≥10% drop from baseline), and 25 died. Baseline ASI was a multivariate predictor (p < 0.001) of (i) cardiotoxicity, in association with trastuzumab treatment (p = 0.010), and LV end-diastolic volume (p = 0.001) and (ii) survival, in association with metastasis (p < 0.001) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (p = 0.008). Cardiotoxicity poorly impacted survival (p = 0.064). The 36-month cardiotoxicity and mortality rates were markedly higher for patients in the upper half of baseline ASI values (ASI: >30 years min-1.mmHg-1, 16.5% and 20.7%, respectively) than in the lower half (7.6% and 4.5%, respectively, both p < 0.05).
Conclusions:
In BrCa women with normal baseline ERNA-LVEF, HR/BP ratio-based indexes unmask hemodynamic profiles associated with increased cardiotoxicity risk and decreased survival, highlighting the need for a comprehensive assessment of cardiac- and vascular-related risks in BrCa women monitored by ERNA.
Condensed Abstract:
In a cohort of 274 women BrCa women who were monitored by ERNA for potentially cardiotoxic drugs (anthracyclines or trastuzumab) and who had no history of cardiac disease and a normal left ventricular ejection fraction before treatment, baseline indexes based on HR/BP ratios unmask hemodynamic profiles strongly associated with an increased risk of cardiotoxicity and subsequently decreased survival. Although further validations in other cohorts are needed, these findings highlight the need for a more comprehensive assessment of the cardiac- and vascular-related risk in BrCa women monitored by ERNA.
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