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Explaining uncertainty in women's fertility preferences.

Amke M G van Tintelen1,2,3, Gert Stulp4

  • 1University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Department of General Practice & Elderly Care Medicine, PO Box 196, 9700 AD, Groningen, the Netherlands.

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Many women are uncertain about their fertility preferences, especially when desiring more children. Partner disagreement and higher desired family size increase this uncertainty, often leading to fewer children than preferred.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Demography
  • Reproductive Health

Background:

  • Fertility preferences are key determinants of fertility behavior.
  • Uncertainty surrounding fertility preferences is often overlooked in research.
  • Understanding preference certainty is crucial for accurate fertility modeling.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the level of uncertainty in Dutch women's fertility preferences.
  • To examine the influence of desired family size and partner agreement on preference uncertainty.
  • To explore how preference uncertainty impacts realized fertility.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the Longitudinal Internet studies for the Social Sciences (2018).
  • Surveyed Dutch women on their fertility preferences and certainty levels.
  • Analyzed the relationship between preferred family size, partner agreement, and uncertainty.

Main Results:

  • A majority of Dutch women expressed uncertainty about their fertility preferences.
  • Preference uncertainty increased with higher desired family sizes and partner disagreement.
  • Women desiring no children were most certain; having children reduced uncertainty.
  • Partner disagreement often led to fewer children being realized.

Conclusions:

  • Fertility preferences are dynamic and often uncertain, particularly for larger family sizes.
  • Partner disagreement is a significant factor contributing to fertility uncertainty and lower realized fertility.
  • Findings suggest a tendency to adjust fertility desires downwards due to uncertainty and disagreement.