Cumulative blood pressure predicts risk of stroke in individuals with type 2 diabetes
Rukai Yang1, Hejun Jiang1, Zhenhua Xing1
1Department of Cardiology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Insights
Cumulative systolic blood pressure (SBP) effectively predicts stroke in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients. This measure offers greater predictive insight than baseline BP alone for stroke risk in T2D.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Endocrinology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) significantly increases cardiovascular disease risk.
- Stroke is a major complication in individuals with T2D.
- Accurate prediction of stroke risk is crucial for effective management in T2D patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive capability of cumulative blood pressure (BP) for stroke incidence in individuals with T2D.
- To compare the predictive value of cumulative BP with baseline BP measurements for stroke risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial.
- Inclusion of participants without prior stroke history.
- Assessment of cumulative BP elevations and evaluation using multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models.
Main Results:
- 8282 participants (62.10% male, mean age 62.73 years) were analyzed.
- Cumulative systolic BP (SBP) and pulse pressure independently predicted stroke events.
- A significant dose-response relationship was observed between cumulative BP and stroke risk.
Conclusions:
- Cumulative SBP is an independent predictor of stroke in individuals with T2D.
- Cumulative SBP provides incremental predictive value beyond baseline BP assessments for stroke risk.
Aims:
To determine whether cumulative blood pressure (BP) could predict stroke in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
Methods:
BP levels at baseline and the initial three visits were obtained from individuals participating in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial who had not experienced a stroke. Cumulative elevations in BP were assessed by adding the weighted mean BP values at various time intervals. The association of cumulative BP with stroke was evaluated by a multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model analysis.
Results:
Overall, 8282 participants were included (62.10% males and 37.90% females; mean age, 62.73 years). With a median follow-up period of 6.36 years, 324 (3.91%) and 305 (3.68%) patients had any and nonfatal stroke events, respectively. Only baseline systolic BP (SBP) independently predicted any stroke after adjustment for potential confounders, whereas cumulative SBP and pulse pressure independently predicted elevated stroke events. A strong dose-response relationship between cumulative BP and stroke was identified, and conventional risk factors combined with cumulative SBP improved prediction efficiency.
Conclusion:
Cumulative SBP independently predicts stroke in individuals with T2D and provides an incremental predictive value for stroke compared with baseline BP assessments.
Trial Registration:
URL: http://www.
Clinicaltrials:
gov. Unique identifier: NCT00000620).
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