Changes in heart transplant outcomes of elderly patients in the new allocation era

Studies demonstrate that heart transplantation can be performed safely in septuagenarians. We evaluate the outcomes of septuagenarians undergoing heart transplantation after the US heart allocation change in 2018.

The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify heart transplant recipients aged 70 years or more between 2010 and 2021. Primary outcomes were 90-day and 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazards, and accelerated failure time models were used for unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses.

A total of 27,403 patients underwent heart transplantation, with 1059 (3.9%) aged 70 years or more. Patients aged 70 years or more increased from 3.7% before 2018 to 4.5% after 2018 (P = .003). Patients aged 70 years or more before 2018 had comparable 90-day and 1-year survivals relative to patients aged less than 70 years (90 days: 93.8% vs 94.2%, log-rank P = .650; 1 year: 89.4% vs 91.1%, log-rank P = .130). After 2018, septuagenarians had lower 90-day and 1-year survivals (90 days: 91.4% vs 95.0%, log-rank P = .021; 1 year: 86.5% vs 90.9%, log-rank P = .018). Risk-adjusted analysis showed comparable 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 0.94-1.76, P = .110) but worse 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.32; 1.03-1.68, P = .028) before policy change. After policy change, both 90-day and 1-year mortalities were higher (90 days: HR, 1.99; 1.23-3.22, P = .005; 1 year: hazard ratio, 1.71; 1.14-2.56, P = .010). An accelerated failure time model showed comparable 90-day (0.42; 0.16-1.44; P = .088) and 1-year (0.48; 0.18-1.26; P = .133) survival postallocation change.

Septuagenarians comprise a greater proportion of heart transplant recipients after the allocation change, and their post-transplant outcomes relative to younger recipients have worsened.