Alleviating misclassified germline variants in underrepresented populations: A strategy using popmax

Germline variant interpretation often depends on population-matched control cohorts. This is not feasible for population groups that are underrepresented in current population reference databases.

We classify germline variants with population-matched controls for 2 ancestrally diverse cohorts of patients: 132 early-onset or familial colorectal carcinoma patients from Singapore and 100 early-onset colorectal carcinoma patients from the United States. The effects of using a population-mismatched control cohort are simulated by swapping the control cohorts used for each patient cohort, with or without the popmax computational strategy.

Population-matched classifications revealed a combined 62 pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in 34 genes across both cohorts. Using a population-mismatched control cohort resulted in misclassification of non-P/LP variants as P/LP, driven by the absence of ancestry-specific rare variants in the control cohort. Popmax was more effective in alleviating misclassifications for the Singapore cohort than the US cohort.

Underrepresented population groups can suffer from higher rates of false-positive P/LP results. Popmax can partially alleviate these misclassifications, but its efficacy still depends on the degree with which the population groups are represented in the control cohort.