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A joint spatial econometric model for regional FDI and output growth.

Tamás Krisztin1,2, Philipp Piribauer3

  • 1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Laxenburg Austria.

Papers in Regional Science : the Journal of the Regional Science Association International
|March 26, 2024
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This study reveals that foreign direct investment (FDI) and regional economic growth are interconnected. Ignoring this relationship, especially human capital

Keywords:
European regionsFDI–output relationshipspatial econometric estimationspatial spillovers

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Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • Regional Science
  • Econometrics

Background:

  • Foreign direct investment (FDI) is a key driver of economic growth.
  • Understanding the dynamics between FDI and output growth is crucial for regional development.
  • Previous studies often overlook the spatial interdependencies and endogenous relationships involved.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the joint dynamics of FDI and output growth in European regions.
  • To analyze the impact of regional human capital endowments on this relationship.
  • To highlight the importance of accounting for spatial spillovers and endogenous effects.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing a spatially augmented systems of equations modeling framework.
  • Incorporating third-region and spillover effects into the analysis.
  • Employing a stylized projection exercise to assess long-run impacts.

Main Results:

  • The study confirms a significant joint dynamic between FDI and regional output growth.
  • Regional human capital endowments play a critical role in this endogenous relationship.
  • Long-run impacts are particularly pronounced in Eastern European regions and capital cities.

Conclusions:

  • Explicitly accounting for the endogenous relationship between FDI and regional economic performance is essential.
  • Ignoring these dynamics distorts the transmission mechanisms, impacting policy effectiveness.
  • Policymakers must consider spatial spillovers and human capital when formulating strategies for regional development.