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Estimating generalized propensity scores with survey and attrition weighted data
Daniel F McCaffrey1, Beth Ann Griffin2, Michael Robbins3
1Research, ETS, Princeton, New Jersey.
This study shows that incorporating survey or attrition weights into generalized propensity score (GPS) models for continuous treatments improves causal effect estimation. Using weights in both stages is sufficient and offers robust bias reduction for observational data analysis.
Area of Science:
- Causal inference
- Observational data analysis
- Statistical modeling
Background:
- Prior research established the utility of survey weights in binary treatment causal inference.
- Extending these methods to continuous treatments and incorporating attrition weights remained unexplored.
- Generalized propensity score (GPS) analyses are increasingly used for continuous treatment effects with observational data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To extend prior work on survey weights to continuous treatments using GPS.
- To investigate the impact of survey sampling and attrition weights on GPS estimation and outcome modeling.
- To assess the robustness and necessity of using weights in different stages of GPS analysis.
Main Methods:
- Developed analytic results extending prior work to continuous treatments and weights.
- Conducted a simulation study to evaluate different weighting strategies in GPS analysis.
- Examined the role of weights in both propensity score and outcome model stages.
Main Results:
- Using survey or attrition weights in GPS estimation and outcome modeling yields more robust continuous treatment effect estimates.
- While weighting in both stages is sufficient for robustness, it is not always necessary for unbiased estimation.
- Simulation results indicate potential bias reduction when weights are applied in both stages, offering a safeguard against unknown conditions.
Conclusions:
- Incorporating survey and attrition weights is crucial for robust causal inference with continuous treatments in observational studies using GPS.
- The findings provide practical guidance for analysts handling weighted data in complex causal analyses.
- Applying weights in both GPS estimation and outcome modeling serves as a prudent strategy to mitigate potential bias.
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