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Nomogram for predicting difficult total laparoscopic hysterectomy: a multi-institutional, retrospective model

Yin Chen1, Jiahong Jiang1, Min He1

  • 1Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The 958th Army Hospital of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (958th Hospital).

International Journal of Surgery (London, England)
|March 27, 2024
PubMed
Summary

This study developed a nomogram to predict the operative difficulty of total laparoscopic hysterectomy (TLH). The tool aids in preoperative planning, patient counseling, and surgical training for improved outcomes.

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Area of Science:

  • Gynaecology
  • Surgical Oncology

Background:

  • Total laparoscopic hysterectomy (TLH) is a common gynaecological procedure with variable difficulty.
  • Operative difficulty impacts patient outcomes and surgical efficiency.
  • Predicting TLH difficulty is crucial for optimizing surgical planning.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a preoperative nomogram for predicting operative difficulty in patients undergoing TLH.
  • To identify key predictors influencing TLH operative difficulty.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 663 patients from Southwest Hospital and 102 from 958th Hospital.
  • Multivariate logistic regression to identify independent predictors of operative difficulty.
  • Internal and external validation of the developed nomogram.

Main Results:

  • Key predictors identified: uterine weight, pelvic surgery history, adenomyosis, surgeon's experience, and annual hysterectomy volume.
  • Nomogram showed good predictive performance with AUCs of 0.827 (training), 0.793 (internal validation), and 0.756 (external validation).
  • Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed operative difficulty.

Conclusions:

  • The developed nomogram accurately predicts TLH operative difficulty.
  • The nomogram can enhance preoperative planning, patient counseling, and surgical training.
  • Further prospective multicenter studies are recommended for model optimization and validation.