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Tracing two decades of carbon emissions using a network approach
Gianluca Guidi1,2, Rossana Mastrandrea3, Angelo Facchini1
1IMT School for Advanced Studies, Piazza San Francesco 19, 55100, Lucca, Italy.
Scientific Reports
|March 28, 2024
Summary
Global carbon emissions are shifting. A new analysis of the Carbon Trade Network reveals that increased trade activity has amplified emissions from net exporters to net importers, challenging current production-based accounting methods.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Economics
- Network Analysis
Background:
- Current climate change policy attributes carbon emissions to producers.
- Recent literature proposes a consumption-based accounting for embedded carbon in imported goods.
- Understanding global emission flows is crucial for effective climate policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the structure of global emission flows using a consumption-based approach.
- To quantify the impact of trade activity on carbon emissions between countries.
- To evaluate the implications of consumption-aware accounting for climate responsibility.
Main Methods:
- Construction of a Carbon Trade Network for 100 countries over 20 years.
- Analysis of emission flows based on a balanced panel data.
- Identification of 'net producer'/'net exporter' and 'net consumer'/'net importer' countries.
Main Results:
- Countries consistently act as either net exporters or net importers of emissions.
- Increased global trade has led to a rise in emissions transferred from net exporters to net importers.
- Individual trade exchanges have become less carbon-intensive, yet overall emissions have increased.
Conclusions:
- Consumption-based accounting offers a different perspective on climate responsibility.
- Shifting to consumption-aware accounting could re-distribute emission responsibilities.
- This approach may help reduce disparities in climate change impact and accountability.
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