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Word Length in Political Public Speaking: Distribution and Time Evolution
Natalia L Tsizhmovska1, Leonid M Martyushev1,2
1Technical Physics Department, Ural Federal University, 19 Mira St., 620002 Ekaterinburg, Russia.
Word length in politicians' speeches remains consistent over 200 years, with lognormal distribution providing a better fit than other models. This linguistic analysis reveals no significant evolution in word length, challenging previous assumptions.
Area of Science:
- Linguistic analysis
- Quantitative linguistics
- Political communication
Background:
- Previous studies on political speech focused on sentence length.
- The evolution of word length in political discourse has not been extensively analyzed.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze word length distribution in public speeches by USA and UK politicians.
- To compare the fit of lognormal, Weibull, and Poisson distributions for word length.
- To determine if word length in political speeches has evolved over the past two centuries.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of over 300 public speeches from USA and UK politicians spanning 200 years.
- Statistical modeling to assess word length distribution using lognormal, Weibull, and Poisson models.
Main Results:
- The lognormal distribution provides a superior fit for word length compared to Weibull and Poisson distributions.
- Word length in politicians' speeches shows no significant change over time; average length is stable or slightly decreasing, while mode slightly increases.
- Findings contrast with previous research on sentence length evolution in political discourse.
Conclusions:
- Word length in political speeches is statistically stable over a 200-year period.
- The observed stability in word length suggests it does not follow Zipf's principle of least effort.
- Quantitative linguistic analysis indicates a lack of evolutionary trend in politicians' word usage over two centuries.
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