Identification of Genetic Variants for Risk Prediction and Early Diagnosis of Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the...

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is the leading cause of blindness in the elderly worldwide. The prevalence and phenotypes of AMD differ among populations, including between people in Taiwan and other regions. We performed a genome-wide association study to identify genetic variants and to develop genetic models to predict the risk of AMD development and progression in the Taiwanese population. In total, 4039 patients with AMD and 16,488 non-AMD controls (aged ≥ 65 years) were included. We identified 31 AMD-associated variants (p < 5 × 10^-8) on chromosome 10q26, surrounding PLEKHA1-ARMS2-HTRA1. Two genetic models were constructed using the clump and threshold method. Model 1 included the single nucleotide polymorphism rs11200630 and showed a 1.31-fold increase in the risk of AMD per risk allele (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.20-1.43, p < 0.001). In model 2, 1412 single-nucleotide polymorphisms were selected to construct a polygenic risk score (PRS). Individuals with the top 5% PRS had a 1.40-fold higher AMD risk compared with that of individuals with a PRS in the bottom quartile (95% CI = 1.04-1.89, p = 0.025). Moreover, the PRS in the upper quartile was related to a decreased age at AMD diagnosis by 0.62 years (95% CI = -1.15, -0.09, p = 0.023). Both genetic models provide useful predictive power for populations at high risk of AMD, affording a basis for identifying patients requiring close follow-up and early intervention.