Association of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio with long-term mortality in the general population: A cohort study

In general, the identification of cholesterol-depleted lipid particles can be inferred from non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) concentration to apolipoprotein B (apoB) concentration ratio, which serves as a reliable indicator for assessing the risk of cardiovascular disease. However, the ability of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio to predict the risk of long-term mortality among the general population remains uncertain. The aim of this study is to explore the association of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio with long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in adults of the United States.

This retrospective cohort study was a further analysis of existing information from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). In the ultimate analysis, 12,697 participants from 2005 to 2014 were included. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves and the log-rank test were applied to visualize survival differences between groups. Multivariate Cox regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were applied to evaluate the association of non-HDL-C/apoB ratio with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Subgroup analysis was conducted for the variables of age, sex, presence of coronary artery disease, diabetes and hypertriglyceridemia and usage of lipid-lowering drugs.

The average age of the cohort was 46.8 ± 18.6 years, with 6215 (48.9%) participants being male. During a median follow-up lasting 68.0 months, 891 (7.0%) deaths were documented and 156 (1.2%) patients died of cardiovascular disease. Individuals who experienced all-cause and cardiovascular deaths had a lower non-HDL-C/apoB ratio compared with those without events (1.45 ± 0.16 vs. 1.50 ± 0.17 and 1.43 ± 0.17 vs. 1.50 ± 0.17, both P values < 0.001). The results of adjusted Cox regression models revealed that non-HDL-C/apoB ratio exhibited independent significance as a risk factor for both long-term all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.33-0.80] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.12-0.90). Additionally, a significant sex interaction was discovered (P for interaction <0.05), indicating a robust association between non-HDL-C/apoB ratio and long-term mortality among females. The RCS curve showed that non-HDL-C/apoB ratio had a negative linear association with long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (P for non-linearity was 0.098 and 0.314).

The non-HDL-C/apoB ratio may serve as a potential biomarker for predicting long-term mortality among the general population, independent of traditional risk factors.