Prediction of dysphagia aspiration through machine learning-based analysis of patients' postprandial voices

Conventional diagnostic methods for dysphagia have limitations such as long wait times, radiation risks, and restricted evaluation. Therefore, voice-based diagnostic and monitoring technologies are required to overcome these limitations. Based on our hypothesis regarding the impact of weakened muscle strength and the presence of aspiration on vocal characteristics, this single-center, prospective study aimed to develop a machine-learning algorithm for predicting dysphagia status (normal, and aspiration) by analyzing postprandial voice limiting intake to 3 cc.

Conducted from September 2021 to February 2023 at Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, this single center, prospective cohort study included 198 participants aged 40 or older, with 128 without suspected dysphagia and 70 with dysphagia-aspiration. Voice data from participants were collected and used to develop dysphagia prediction models using the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) with MobileNet V3. Male-only, female-only, and combined models were constructed using 10-fold cross-validation. Through the inference process, we established a model capable of probabilistically categorizing a new patient's voice as either normal or indicating the possibility of aspiration.

The pre-trained models (mn40_as and mn30_as) exhibited superior performance compared to the non-pre-trained models (mn4.0 and mn3.0). Overall, the best-performing model, mn30_as, which is a pre-trained model, demonstrated an average AUC across 10 folds as follows: combined model 0.8361 (95% CI 0.7667-0.9056; max 0.9541), male model 0.8010 (95% CI 0.6589-0.9432; max 1.000), and female model 0.7572 (95% CI 0.6578-0.8567; max 0.9779). However, for the female model, a slightly higher result was observed with the mn4.0, which scored 0.7679 (95% CI 0.6426-0.8931; max 0.9722). Additionally, the other models (pre-trained; mn40_as, non-pre-trained; mn4.0 and mn3.0) also achieved performance above 0.7 in most cases, and the highest fold-level performance for most models was approximately around 0.9. The 'mn' in model names refers to MobileNet and the following number indicates the 'width_mult' parameter.

In this study, we used mel-spectrogram analysis and a MobileNetV3 model for predicting dysphagia aspiration. Our research highlights voice analysis potential in dysphagia screening, diagnosis, and monitoring, aiming for non-invasive safer, and more effective interventions.

This study was approved by the IRB (No. B-2109-707-303) and registered on clinicaltrials.gov (ID: NCT05149976).