Preoperative prediction for early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma using machine learning-based radiomics

To develop a contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) based radiomics model using machine learning method and assess its ability of preoperative prediction for the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

A total of 297 patients confirmed with HCC were assigned to the training dataset and test dataset based on the 8:2 ratio, and the follow-up period of the patients was from May 2012 to July 2017. The lesion sites were manually segmented using ITK-SNAP, and the pyradiomics platform was applied to extract radiomic features. We established the machine learning model to predict the early recurrence of HCC. The accuracy, AUC, standard deviation, specificity, and sensitivity were applied to evaluate the model performance.

1,688 features were extracted from the arterial phase and venous phase images, respectively. When arterial phase and venous phase images were employed correlated with clinical factors to train a prediction model, it achieved the best performance (AUC with 95% CI 0.8300(0.7560-0.9040), sensitivity 89.45%, specificity 79.07%, accuracy 82.67%, p value 0.0064).

The CECT-based radiomics may be helpful to non-invasively reveal the potential connection between CECT images and early recurrence of HCC. The combination of radiomics and clinical factors could boost model performance.