Identification and validation of an immune-derived multiple programmed cell death index for predicting clinical
Chunhong Li1,2,3, Jiahua Hu4,5, Xiling Jiang6
1Central Laboratory, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University, Guilin, 541199, Guangxi, China. chunhongli@glmc.edu.cn.
Objectives:
Comprehensive cross-interaction of multiple programmed cell death (PCD) patterns in the patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) have not yet been thoroughly investigated.
Methods:
Here, we collected 19 different PCD patterns, including 1911 PCD-related genes, and developed an immune-derived multiple programmed cell death index (MPCDI) based on machine learning methods.
Results:
Using the median MPCDI scores, we categorized the LUAD patients into two groups: low-MPCDI and high-MPCDI. Our analysis of the TCGA-LUAD training cohort and three external GEO cohorts (GSE37745, GSE30219, and GSE68465) revealed that patients with high-MPCDI experienced a more unfavorable prognosis, whereas those with low-MPCDI had a better prognosis. Furthermore, the results of both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses further confirmed that MPCDI serves as a novel independent risk factor. By combining clinical characteristics with the MPCDI, we constructed a nomogram that provides an accurate and reliable quantitative tool for personalized clinical management of LUAD patients. The findings obtained from the analysis of C-index and the decision curve revealed that the nomogram outperformed various clinical variables in terms of net clinical benefit. Encouragingly, the low-MPCDI patients are more sensitive to commonly used chemotherapy drugs, which suggests that MPCDI scores have a guiding role in chemotherapy for LUAD patients.
Conclusion:
Therefore, MPCDI can be used as a novel clinical diagnostic classifier, providing valuable insights into the clinical management and clinical decision-making for LUAD patients.


