Dynamic change in red cell distribution width as a predictor for short-time mortality in dermatomyositis-associated...

We aimed to explore a new and readily available practical marker for rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) and poor short-term outcomes in patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM).

A total of 1822 consecutive patients with IIM between 2009 and 2021 were evaluated retrospectively. All proven cases of naïve ILD with complete medical records were included. Red cell distribution width (RDW) values at the initial stage, 3 months and last follow-up were collected. The clinical characteristics and outcomes of the patients were recorded.

We identified 532 patients with IIM with an average follow-up of 4 years. ILD prevalence was higher in patients of elevated RDW (p<0.001). The patients with ILD and elevated RDW had lower levels of PaO₂/FiO₂, FVC% and DLco% and a higher prevalence of RP-ILD than those with normal RDW (p<0.001). Prognostic analysis revealed that RDW was an independent risk factor for prognosis in patients with IIM-ILD (HR=2.9, p=0.03). Patients with dermatomyositis (DM) with RP-ILD with a change in RDW within 3 months (∆RDW-3) greater than 0 were more likely to die within 3 months. Moreover, the prevalence of ∆RDW-3>0 was higher in patients with RP-ILD and positive for anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody who died within 3 months (87.5%) compared with those alive at 3 months (24.6%) (p<0.001).

These findings suggest that repeated RDW assays could assist physicians in identifying patients with DM-ILD who were at a high risk of RP-ILD and death.