Preoperative nomogram for predicting spread through air spaces in clinical-stage IA non-small cell lung cancer using...

This study aims to assess the predictive value of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) radiological features and the maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max) in determining the presence of spread through air spaces (STAS) in clinical-stage IA non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 180 cases of NSCLC with postoperative pathological assessment of STAS status, spanning from September 2019 to September 2023. Of these, 116 cases from hospital one comprised the training set, while 64 cases from hospital two formed the testing set. The clinical information, tumor SUV_max, and 13 related CT features were analyzed. Subgroup analysis was carried out based on tumor density type. In the training set, univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were employed to identify the most significant variables. A multivariable logistic regression model was constructed and the corresponding nomogram was developed to predict STAS in NSCLC, and its diagnostic efficacy was evaluated in the testing set.

SUV_max, consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR), and lobulation sign emerged as the best combination of variables for predicting STAS in NSCLC. Among these, SUV_max and CTR were identified as independent predictors for STAS prediction. The constructed prediction model demonstrated area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.796 and 0.821 in the training and testing sets, respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed a 2.69 times higher STAS-positive rate in solid nodules compared to part-solid nodules. SUV_max was an independent predictor for predicting STAS in solid nodular NSCLC, while CTR and an emphysema background were independent predictors for STAS in part-solid nodular NSCLC.

Our nomogram based on preoperative ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT radiological features and SUV_max effectively predicts STAS status in clinical-stage IA NSCLC. Furthermore, our study highlights that metabolic parameters and CT variables associated with STAS differ between solid and part-solid nodular NSCLC.