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Maximizing carbon sequestration potential in Chinese forests through optimal management.

Zhen Yu1,2, Shirong Liu3, Haikui Li4

  • 1Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Carbon Source and Sink, China Meteorological Administration (ECSS-CMA), School of Ecology and Applied Meteorology, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China. zyu@nuist.edu.cn.

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|April 11, 2024
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Forest carbon sequestration in China is projected to increase by 13.6 Pg C by 2100. Optimal forest management is crucial for enhancing this carbon sink and avoiding premature peak shifts.

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Area of Science:

  • Forestry
  • Ecology
  • Climate Science

Background:

  • China's forest carbon sequestration capacity is uncertain due to unaddressed tree demographics and harvest impacts.
  • Existing models may overestimate long-term projections by neglecting crucial forest dynamics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To project China's forest carbon sequestration capacity from 2020 to 2100 using a process-based biogeochemical model.
  • To assess the impact of forest management and wood harvest on carbon stock projections.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized national forest inventories from approximately 415,000 permanent plots.
  • Employed a process-based biogeochemical model for carbon stock projections.
  • Analyzed the effects of wood harvest and forest demographic changes on carbon sink dynamics.

Main Results:

  • Projected an expansion in forest biomass carbon stock by 13.6 ± 1.5 Pg C by 2100.
  • Identified additional carbon sequestration potential from wood product pools (0.6-2.0 Pg C) and optimized forest management (2.3 ± 0.03 Pg C).
  • Demonstrated that neglecting harvest impacts can shift the carbon sink peak by 1-3 decades.

Conclusions:

  • Accurate forest carbon sequestration projections require incorporating tree demographic dynamics and harvest impacts.
  • Optimal forest management strategies are essential for maximizing carbon sequestration potential.
  • Swift implementation of these strategies is necessary to enhance China's role as a carbon sink.