One abnormal value in oral glucose tolerance test during pregnancy and type 2 diabetes risk: Insights from a 5-Year Follow-Up study

To evaluate the risk of type 2 diabetes(T2D) following one abnormal value(OAbV) in an oral glucose tolerance test(oGTT) performed during pregnancy.

A retrospective analysis of parturients between 01.01.2017 and 31.12.2020 with 5 years of follow-up after delivery. Glucose levels during pregnancy were extracted from the computerized laboratory system of Meuhedet HMO and cross-tabulated with the Israeli National Registry of Diabetes. Women with multiple gestations or pregestational diabetes were excluded. Maternal characteristics and risk of T2D were stratified and compared between 3 groups: normal glucose status, OAbV in oGTT, and gestational diabetes. Statistical analysis included univariate analysis followed by survival analysis. Further analysis was stratified to women with and without obesity.

58,693 women entered the analysis. Following an adjustment to maternal age, obesity, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, OAbV in oGTT was associated with a 1.8-fold increased risk of T2D in a 5-year follow-up compared to normal glucose status. When stratified by obesity, OAbV was associated with a 3.7-fold increase in T2D in women without obesity, however, was no longer a statistically significant predictor of T2D among women with obesity.

Women with OAbV oGTT during pregnancy are at increased risk for developing T2D over 5 years of follow-up.