Development of a Non-Invasive Machine-Learned Point-of-Care Rule-Out Test for Coronary Artery Disease

The current standard of care for coronary artery disease (CAD) requires an intake of radioactive or contrast enhancement dyes, radiation exposure, and stress and may take days to weeks for referral to gold-standard cardiac catheterization. The CAD diagnostic pathway would greatly benefit from a test to assess for CAD that enables the physician to rule it out at the point of care, thereby enabling the exploration of other diagnoses more rapidly. We sought to develop a test using machine learning to assess for CAD with a rule-out profile, using an easy-to-acquire signal (without stress/radiation) at the point of care. Given the historic disparate outcomes between sexes and urban/rural geographies in cardiology, we targeted equal performance across sexes in a geographically accessible test. Noninvasive photoplethysmogram and orthogonal voltage gradient signals were simultaneously acquired in a representative clinical population of subjects before invasive catheterization for those with CAD (gold-standard for the confirmation of CAD) and coronary computed tomographic angiography for those without CAD (excellent negative predictive value). Features were measured from the signal and used in machine learning to predict CAD status. The machine-learned algorithm achieved a sensitivity of 90% and specificity of 59%. The rule-out profile was maintained across both sexes, as well as all other relevant subgroups. A test to assess for CAD using machine learning on a noninvasive signal has been successfully developed, showing high performance and rule-out ability. Confirmation of the performance on a large clinical, blinded, enrollment-gated dataset is required before implementation of the test in clinical practice.