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Published on: October 17, 2016
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Italy: toward a growth-friendly fiscal reform
Michal Andrle1, Shafik Hebous1, Alvar Kangur1
1International Monetary Fund, 700 19th St NW, 20341 Washington, DC USA.
Summary
Italy's 2020 fiscal plan needs concrete measures. This study proposes spending cuts and tax reforms to reduce public debt, support economic recovery, and minimize near-term costs.
Area of Science:
- Public Finance
- Fiscal Policy
- Economics
Background:
- Italy's medium-term fiscal plan (2017) targets structural balance by 2020.
- The plan lacks specific, high-quality measures for target achievement.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify potential spending reductions.
- To evaluate the Italian pension system.
- To analyze revenue rebalancing opportunities.
- To propose a growth-friendly fiscal adjustment package.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of public spending patterns.
- Evaluation of the pension system's fiscal impact.
- Assessment of revenue-generating and rebalancing options.
- Modeling of fiscal consolidation scenarios.
Main Results:
- Identified areas for potential government spending savings.
- Assessed the fiscal sustainability of the pension system.
- Determined scope for tax revenue rebalancing.
- Developed a package of fiscal measures.
Conclusions:
- A proposed package of spending cuts and tax reforms can reduce public debt.
- Fiscal consolidation can be growth-friendly and inclusive.
- Measures can limit near-term economic output costs.
- Fiscal adjustment supports economic recovery and reduces vulnerabilities.
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