Thoracic versus coronary calcification for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events prediction

Keishi Ichikawa1, Rui Wang2, Robyn L McClelland2

  • 1The Lundquist Institute, Torrance, California, USA keishi.ichikawa@lundquist.org.

PubMed

Insights

Thoracic artery calcium (TAC) on chest CT and coronary artery calcium (CAC) on cardiac CT both predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events. However, CAC scores offer superior prognostic value for ASCVD risk prediction.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Imaging
  • Radiology
  • Preventive Cardiology

Background:

  • Thoracic artery calcium (TAC) on chest CT and coronary artery calcium (CAC) on ECG-gated cardiac CT are markers for cardiovascular risk.
  • The prognostic value of TAC, including the aortic arch, compared to CAC for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the prognostic value of quantified thoracic artery calcium (TAC) on chest CT with coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores on ECG-gated cardiac CT for predicting incident ASCVD events.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 2412 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Exam 5 who had both chest CT and ECG-gated cardiac CT.
  • Measured TAC using the Agatston method on chest CT and CAC scores on cardiac CT.
  • Compared prognostic value using time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and multivariable Cox regression analysis over a median follow-up of 8.8 years.

Main Results:

  • A significant correlation (0.46, p<0.001) was observed between TAC and CAC scores.
  • Both TAC (HR 1.31) and CAC (HR 1.82) were independently associated with ASCVD events.
  • CAC scores demonstrated a significantly greater area under the time-dependent ROC curve (0.698 vs 0.641, p=0.031) compared to TAC, especially in individuals with intermediate to high ASCVD risk.

Conclusions:

  • While TAC on chest CT shows a significant association with ASCVD events and provides supplementary risk data, it does not replace CAC scoring on ECG-gated cardiac CT.
  • CAC scores possess superior prognostic value for predicting ASCVD events compared to TAC.
  • These findings highlight the distinct yet complementary roles of TAC and CAC in cardiovascular risk assessment.

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