Causal relationship between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure: A Mendelian randomization study

Causal association between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and heart failure (HF) has been controversial. This study used Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis to clarify the potential causal connection between these two conditions.

The purpose of the study was to investigate the causal relationship between COPD and HF based on the hypothesis that the genetic predisposition to COPD could lead to an increased risk of developing HF METHODS: A two-sample MR analysis of genetic data was performed for COPD and HF. This study was based on genome-wide association study (GWAS) data, including 6,915 patients with confirmed COPD and 186,723 controls. The odds ratios (ORs) and their 95 % confidence intervals (95 %CIs) were estimated using a fixed effects inverse variance weighting (IVW) method. Several supplementary statistical methods, including MR-Egger, weighted median, maximum likelihood, penalized weighted median, and random effects IVW, were applied to enhance the robustness of findings. Moreover, MR-PRESSO was employed as an alternative method for statistical detection.

Pooled data for HF were obtained from different GWASs, including 4,7309 confirmed HF patients and 930,014 controls. The MR analysis, based on the IVW model, revealed that COPD was significantly associated with an increased risk of HF. Specifically, the obtained findings showed that COPD patients had a higher risk of developing HF (Model 1: OR = 1.068, 95 %CI: 1.006-1.134, p = 0.031; Model 2: OR = 1.038, 95 %CI: 1.006-1.071, p = 0.020), indicating a causal relationship between COPD and HF. No evidence was found to suggest a reverse causal effect of HF on COPD incidence.

The MR analysis substantiates a causal link between COPD and HF, with no evidence supporting a reverse causation from HF to COPD. These findings underscore the importance of proactive COPD management as a potential strategy to prevent the development of HF, highlighting the need for targeted interventions in patients with COPD to mitigate their risk of HF.